Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.046179 0.050261 0.054397 0.058896 0.063645 0.068501 0.073834
2025-06-22 0.039758 0.045735 0.052015 0.059078 0.066773 0.074878 0.084033
2025-06-29 0.034653 0.041920 0.049805 0.058934 0.069153 0.080179 0.092917
2025-07-06 0.031757 0.040142 0.049496 0.060592 0.073289 0.087259 0.103687
2025-07-13 0.028126 0.037146 0.047484 0.060040 0.074708 0.091140 0.110777
2025-07-20 0.025468 0.035025 0.046254 0.060181 0.076748 0.095597 0.118433
2025-07-27 0.023603 0.033679 0.045785 0.061078 0.079560 0.100868 0.126983
2025-08-03 0.022270 0.032863 0.045851 0.062529 0.082964 0.106796 0.136294
2025-08-10 0.019471 0.029967 0.043159 0.060439 0.081963 0.107407 0.139265
2025-08-17 0.017674 0.028243 0.041824 0.059921 0.082782 0.110116 0.144670
2025-08-24 0.016047 0.026627 0.040521 0.059347 0.083452 0.112586 0.149750
2025-08-31 0.015479 0.026426 0.041038 0.061083 0.087001 0.118571 0.159106
2025-09-07 0.014667 0.025853 0.041058 0.062201 0.089831 0.123772 0.167653
2025-09-14 0.013758 0.025081 0.040764 0.062876 0.092087 0.128275 0.175384
2025-09-21 0.012727 0.024055 0.040062 0.062961 0.093553 0.131780 0.181897
2025-09-28 0.012346 0.023982 0.040673 0.064811 0.097323 0.138206 0.192080
2025-10-05 0.011270 0.022757 0.039586 0.064287 0.097935 0.140610 0.197233
2025-10-12 0.010486 0.021936 0.039033 0.064461 0.099443 0.144141 0.203803
2025-10-19 0.009980 0.021528 0.039054 0.065414 0.101980 0.148992 0.212054
2025-10-26 0.009661 0.021407 0.039487 0.066942 0.105295 0.154865 0.221634
2025-11-02 0.008431 0.019646 0.037368 0.064754 0.103500 0.154052 0.222648
2025-11-09 0.007697 0.018687 0.036423 0.064212 0.103921 0.156108 0.227325
2025-11-16 0.007008 0.017752 0.035466 0.063611 0.104227 0.157989 0.231767